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- QST DE W1AW
- HR PROPAGATION FORECAST BULLETIN NR 3 ARLP003
- FROM ARRL HEADQUARTERS
- NEWINGTON CT JANURY 16, 1989
- TO ALL RADIO AMATEURS BT
-
- SOLAR ACTIVITY IS OFF TO A FLYING START IN THE NEW YEAR. WITH
- JANUARY HALF GONE THERE HAVE BEEN ONLY TWO DAYS WHEN THE SOLAR FLUX
- WAS UNDER 200. JANUARY 1 AND 3 WERE 192 AND 198, IN THAT ORDER.
- FROM THE 6TH THROUGH THE 15TH, ONLY THE 10TH DID NOT EXCEED PREVIOUS
- CYCLE 22 HIGHS. ON THE 13TH THE FLUX HIT 291, ITS HIGHEST IN JUST A
- FEW DAYS LESS T AN SEVEN YEARS.
-
- PRACTICAL RESULTS OF THE HIGHER FLUX LEVELS ARE A 20 METER BAND
- ACTIVE AROUND THE CLOCK, WITH 15 METERS ALMOST AS GOOD. THE 10 METER
- BAND OPENS TO EUROPE BEFORE SUNRISE, AND MAY BE GOING STRONG IN A
- WESTERLY DIRECTION FOR TWO HOURS OR MORE AFTER SUNSET. LOW POWERED
- 10 METER BEACONS IN AUSTRALIA ARE HEARD IN OUR FLORIDA LOCATION FROM
- EARLY AFTERNOON TO LONG AFTER DARK, ALMOST DAILY. PROBABLY MORE
- SIGNIFICANT, 50 MHZ DX IS ALMOST DAILY FARE, WITH AMAZING COVERAGE ON
- THE BETTER DAYS. THE DX FUTURE FOR THIS BAND IS VERY PROMISING, FOR
- THE NEXT TWO YEARS OR SO.
-
- FOR THE FORECAST WEEK EXPECT A DOWNWARD TREND IN SOLAR FLUX LEVELS
- BEFORE NEXT WEEKEND, BUT PROPAGATION SHOULD NOT BE AFFECTED GREATLY,
- EXCEPT ON THE HIGHER FREQUENCIES. BETTER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ON
- THE CONVENTIONAL DX BANDS, AS A FAST RISING SOLAR FLUX CAN
- DO MORE HARM THAN GOOD THERE. THE DX POTENTIAL FOR 6, 10 AND 12 METERS WILL
- FALL OFF SLIGHTLY AFTER ABOUT JANUARY 24 BUT NOT FOR LONG.
- PROPAGATION ON HIGH LATITUDE PATHS IS BEST WHEN THE WWV K INDEX IS 2
- OR LOWER, COMMONLY WHEN THE SOLAR FLUX IS GOING DOWN, OR HOLDING
- STEADY. THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL ABOUT JANUARY 16 TO 18, 20
- TO 22, AND AT THE END OF THE MONTH AR
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